Pre-tourney Rankings
Murray St.
Ohio Valley
2018-19
Overall
Predictive Rating+8.4#56
Expected Predictive Rating+10.4#48
Pace71.2#112
Improvement-1.2#241

Offense
Total Offense+5.3#43
First Shot+3.1#89
After Offensive Rebound+2.2#39
Layup/Dunks+8.2#3
2 Pt Jumpshots-3.9#340
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.0#210
Freethrows-0.1#198
Improvement+0.4#160

Defense
Total Defense+3.1#93
First Shot+4.2#60
After Offensive Rebounds-1.2#292
Layups/Dunks-2.1#269
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.3#77
3 Pt Jumpshots+4.3#19
Freethrows+0.8#127
Improvement-1.7#257
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 100.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier n/a n/a n/a
Average Seed 12.0 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round100.0% n/a n/a
Second Round25.9% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen7.3% n/a n/a
Elite Eight1.1% n/a n/a
Final Four0.1% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding 12 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0.0 - 1.00.0 - 1.0
Quad 1b1.0 - 1.01.0 - 2.0
Quad 21.0 - 2.02.0 - 4.0
Quad 34.0 - 0.06.0 - 4.0
Quad 419.0 - 0.025.0 - 4.0


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 10, 2018 132   Wright St. W 73-54 79%     1 - 0 +18.8 +5.1 +14.8
  Nov 24, 2018 172   Missouri St. W 77-66 86%     2 - 0 +7.5 +0.6 +6.6
  Nov 26, 2018 55   @ Alabama L 72-78 37%     2 - 1 +5.7 +0.9 +5.2
  Dec 01, 2018 234   Prairie View W 83-67 92%     3 - 1 +9.0 +7.7 +1.5
  Dec 08, 2018 239   @ Middle Tennessee W 64-42 83%     4 - 1 +20.3 -4.6 +26.1
  Dec 12, 2018 143   @ Southern Illinois W 80-52 65%     5 - 1 +32.4 +13.7 +20.0
  Dec 15, 2018 328   Jackson St. W 74-57 97%     6 - 1 +2.7 -4.0 +6.2
  Dec 18, 2018 223   Evansville W 66-64 91%     7 - 1 -4.3 -3.9 -0.2
  Dec 22, 2018 11   @ Auburn L 88-93 15%     7 - 2 +14.5 +18.4 -3.7
  Jan 03, 2019 262   Morehead St. W 90-69 93%     8 - 2 1 - 0 +12.3 +10.2 +1.9
  Jan 05, 2019 260   Eastern Kentucky W 97-85 93%     9 - 2 2 - 0 +3.4 +4.2 -2.9
  Jan 10, 2019 297   @ Tennessee Martin W 98-77 89%     10 - 2 3 - 0 +15.7 +15.7 -0.6
  Jan 12, 2019 317   @ Southeast Missouri St. W 85-67 91%     11 - 2 4 - 0 +11.2 +17.1 -4.1
  Jan 17, 2019 313   @ Eastern Illinois W 83-61 91%     12 - 2 5 - 0 +15.5 +4.0 +11.0
  Jan 19, 2019 329   @ SIU Edwardsville W 82-72 94%     13 - 2 6 - 0 +1.1 +1.0 -0.4
  Jan 24, 2019 54   Belmont L 66-79 58%     13 - 3 6 - 1 -6.8 -8.0 +1.5
  Jan 26, 2019 311   Tennessee St. W 100-62 96%     14 - 3 7 - 1 +26.0 +23.4 +3.3
  Jan 31, 2019 129   @ Jacksonville St. L 68-88 61%     14 - 4 7 - 2 -14.4 -2.3 -11.6
  Feb 02, 2019 326   @ Tennessee Tech W 67-63 93%     15 - 4 8 - 2 -4.4 -6.2 +1.7
  Feb 07, 2019 313   Eastern Illinois W 86-75 96%     16 - 4 9 - 2 -1.1 +2.1 -3.6
  Feb 09, 2019 329   SIU Edwardsville W 86-55 97%     17 - 4 10 - 2 +16.6 +5.7 +10.8
  Feb 14, 2019 140   @ Austin Peay W 73-71 64%     18 - 4 11 - 2 +6.7 +8.5 -1.5
  Feb 16, 2019 260   @ Eastern Kentucky W 102-70 86%     19 - 4 12 - 2 +29.0 +17.1 +8.2
  Feb 21, 2019 297   Tennessee Martin W 85-75 95%     20 - 4 13 - 2 -0.8 +4.6 -5.3
  Feb 23, 2019 317   Southeast Missouri St. W 103-67 96%     21 - 4 14 - 2 +23.7 +22.0 +0.9
  Feb 28, 2019 262   @ Morehead St. W 71-52 86%     22 - 4 15 - 2 +15.9 -10.0 +24.5
  Mar 02, 2019 140   Austin Peay W 94-83 81%     23 - 4 16 - 2 +10.1 +12.6 -3.0
  Mar 08, 2019 129   Jacksonville St. W 76-74 70%     24 - 4 +4.9 +4.1 +0.7
  Mar 09, 2019 54   Belmont W 77-65 48%     25 - 4 +21.0 +3.8 +16.8
Projected Record 25.0 - 4.0 16.0 - 2.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Ohio Valley Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 100.0 100.0 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
Total 100.0 Total



Ohio Valley Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2 100.0% 100.0    100.0
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total 100.0% 100.0 100.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 12.0 0.0 0.1 1.0 8.5 77.7 12.5 0.3
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 12.0 0.0 0.1 1.0 8.5 77.7 12.5 0.3